The contests...

Senate District D

Ben Carpenter vs Jesse Bjorkman

The primary count placed these two very close with Bjorkman a bit ahead of Carpenter.
2,924 to 2,660

From a conservative perspective this contest is a no-brainer. Last session Jesse Bjorkman was a member of the republican caucus who rolled over and gave control to the Democrat majority. On his worst day I would never envision Ben Carpenter turning the Senate leadership over to the Democrats. Ben is one of the strongest, most steady conservatives in the legislature. It would be my prediction, if elected, he would form an alliance with Senators Hughes, Shower and Myers.

This election is close as Bjorkman was once a teacher so he enjoys the benefit of NEA support which gives him a substantial campaign war chest.

It is unusual to mention senate staff but in the case of Ben Carpenter, he employs Donna Arduin who is fully recognized as one of the most conservative budget hawks in America. She is not only an asset to Ben but to the entire State of Alaska and the nation.

District #L 

Jared Goecker vs Kelly Merrick 

This is a hotly contested campaign.

Given that all the other conservative candidates dropped out, if their numbers were added to Jared's total, he is ahead in the total vote count. It is surprising that Kelly Merrick is making this a contest as Eagle River has always been a right leaning district. This seat was occupied by Senator Lora Reinbold just to give it context. 

Kelly Merrick has helped to give both the House and Senate bodies over to the Democrats in order to receive important committee assignments. She is definitely a republican turn coat. The only reason why she is effective in her campaigns is she has heavy support from some of the unions as her husband is a union bigwig.

I predict Jared to win this seat and most likely he will join the Hughes, Shower and Myers arm of the conservative coalition in the Senate.

District #N

David Wilson vs
Robert Yundt
Stephen Wright

Senator David Wilson has been the consistent benefactor of a split vote in his district. It has been unfortunate as he is less than conservative for Big Lake and Wasilla, siding with Senator Cathy Giessel on many issues. David was also a member of the republican turncoats who turned control of the senate over to the Democrats. 

Unfortunately, this election cycle is no different that the others. In the primary, Stephen Wright came in 3rd behind Robert Yundt. He has refused to drop out which would ensure the campaign going back to Senator Wilson.

Stephen is no stranger to this issue as he has been a consistent "spoiler" for years ensuring Senator Wilson's return to the legislature. Stephen feels he has an "entitlement" to the campaign and it clouds his judgement.

I recommend all voters in this district to ignore Stephen Wright's campaign and vote for Robert Yundt. This is the only path to finally giving Senator Wilson his retirement papers. 

District #R

This is a district long held by Senator Click Bishop who has retired. Word has it that he will be mounting a campaign to become the next governor. 

Mike Cronk Republican 
vs
Savannah Fletcher Democrat

This is a hotly contested race with Mike receiving 3,305 votes and Savannah receiving 3,193.
Conservative James Squyres received 572 votes and subsequently dropped out of the race clearing the flight path for Cronk. 

This should give Mike Cronk an edge in the contest but rest assured, the Democrat Party considers this race important in mounting their numbers in the senate. Savannah will be well funded but Mike Cronk is a hard working candidate who definitely knows how to play ball!.
This district is the largest district in the state. I predict Mike Cronk will win this seat and he will also be a senator who will not support the Senate ran by a Democrat majority. Again, I see him forming coalitions with the Hughes, Shower and Myer conservative branch of the senate. 

Two districts which have the potential to flip....

District P Fairbanks

Scott Kawasaki Democrat 1,671
vs
Leslie Hajdukovich Republican 1,764

District #F Lower Hillside Anchorage

James Kaufman Republican 2,563
Janice Park Democrat 2,737

James may have a very difficult time getting conservatives in his district to support his campaign as he was one of the members of the senate who voted to hand control of the senate over to the Democrats. Additionally, he has never supported the concept of a statutory PFD. He definitely has an uphill battle on the hillside to retain his seat. Nonetheless, Kaufman is far better than the extreme Democrat candidate. If elected perhaps he will come to his senses and support Hughes, Shower and Myer as they promote a republican majority caucus for the senate.